Nov
17
2017

Three quarter macroeconomic survey the situation is cold GDP or increase by 6.7% superrecovery

The three quarter macroeconomic situation survey: cool GDP or by 6.7% — the Shanghai securities news, the chief economist of the 2016 three quarter report macroeconomic before 2016 three quarter economic data will be released, the newspaper published the "Shanghai Securities News — chief economist quarterly economic situation survey report", chief economist, 7 banks and brokerages other domestic and foreign financial institutions to participate in the investigation of the macroeconomic research experts and macroeconomic research team mostly to maintain the current macroeconomic situation of "cold" judgment. Prediction and analysis for these institutions to change from the first three quarters of 2016 GDP, the price level of liquidity and macroeconomic policy indicators, economic growth will remain weak and stable, is expected in 2016 is expected to achieve annual economic growth target. A survey by the results of the first three quarters of 2016, expected GDP rose 6.7%, unchanged from the first half of 2016 GDP year-on-year growth of 6.7%; expected CPI rose 1.81%, significantly lower than the first half of 2016 an increase of CPI level 2.1%, PPI growth is expected to be -2.32%, indicating that the current inflation pressure is still not expected at the end of 2016 9; M2 grew 12.1%, more than 11.8% data compared to 6 at the end of 2016 rose. Overall, the first three quarters of 2016 in a weak economy is stable, but the driving force of the switching of investment demand and enhancement, is particularly significant for an increase of the annual GDP of the "stable". Chief economist / reporter Le Jiachun participate in the survey and macroeconomic research experts list Haitong Securities vice president and chief economist of Xiangcai securities vice president, chief economist of Shenyin Wanguo Securities Research Institute chief economist at Mizuho Securities director, general manager, chief economist Chinese Bank Deputy Director of Institute of international finance and Commercial Bank of China Everbright Securities chief economist City Financial Institute senior researcher Li Xunlei Li Kang Shen Jianguang Zong Liang Xu Gao Fan Zhigang Yang growth (in order of strokes of Chinese characters) "steady investment" pressure "to stabilize the economy is expected to bottom" in view of the current domestic economic boom, in addition to the 1 institutions on the current domestic macroeconomic The judgment of the situation is normal, the rest of the 6 organizations involved in the investigation to maintain the macroeconomic situation, cold judgment. See the quarter GDP trend since 2014, the current macro economy is still in the process of bottoming stabilized. In three big demand, consumer demand remained relatively stable, the import and export of negative growth characteristics continue to improve, the investment demand growth steadily, but growth momentum driven investment from the promotion of real estate investment growth accelerated to speed up the switching PPP project (the government and social capital cooperation projects) landing and implementation, influence the growth of investment demand on the first three quarters of 2016, the expected level of economic growth will be 6.7% and the three quarter GDP growth in the first half of the flat on the annual economic increase相关的主题文章:

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